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Additionally, using an optimization technique, we assess the profitability of a mini-grid electrification project in Tanzania from a private investment perspective. We find that the approved standardized small power producers’ tariffs and subsidy scheme in Tanzania still do not allow mini-grid for rural electrification projects to be profitable.
Mini-grid Projects in Tanzania. After several years of operations, mini-grid developers in Tanzania still face some challenges, including a lack of regulatory framework and a specific tariff policy for mini-grid systems.
The loan facility is accessible through the Tanzania Investment Bank with 15 years payback period. Additionally, the World Bank has also made available $75 million under the Renewable Energy Rural Electrification Program to support the development of mini-grid projects between 2015 and 2019 (Org et al. 2016 ).
However, most of the subsidies for mini-grid projects in Tanzania were implemented between 2008 and 2014 (Org et al., 2016 ). Even if we apply the subsidies that used to be in place (Marching Grant and Performance Grant), they will not be enough to make the project profitable.
Given the dispersed type of settlement in rural Tanzania, grid extension is not a cost-effective option for extending electricity access to rural consumers. Therefore, TANESCO, the national utility company, uses standalone mini-grid systems powered by diesel and natural gas to extend electricity access to isolated communities.
Specifically, we highlight non-cost-reflective tariff for mini-grid projects and the commercial risk of mini-grid projects as significant challenges facing the commercial deployment of mini-grid systems in Tanzania. Therefore, the government may consider the following:
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